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North Port, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for 2 Miles ESE Warm Mineral Springs FL
National Weather Service Forecast for:
2 Miles ESE Warm Mineral Springs FL
Issued by: National Weather Service Tampa Bay, FL |
| Updated: 8:18 pm EDT Aug 8, 2025 |
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Overnight
Partly Cloudy
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Saturday
Scattered
T-storms then
Showers
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Saturday
Night
Showers
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Sunday
Showers
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Sunday
Night
Showers
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Monday
Scattered
T-storms then
Showers
Likely
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Monday
Night
Showers
Likely then
Scattered
T-storms
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Tuesday
Scattered
T-storms then
Showers
Likely
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Tuesday
Night
Showers
Likely then
Scattered
T-storms
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| Lo 75 °F |
Hi 92 °F |
Lo 75 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 76 °F |
Hi 93 °F |
Lo 76 °F |
Hi 93 °F |
Lo 77 °F |
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Overnight
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. East wind around 5 mph. |
Saturday
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 92. Heat index values as high as 102. East wind 6 to 9 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Saturday Night
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Low around 75. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Sunday
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 8am. High near 91. Heat index values as high as 103. East southeast wind 6 to 8 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Sunday Night
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2am, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Low around 76. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Monday
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. East wind around 7 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Monday Night
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. South southwest wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Tuesday
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. East wind around 6 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Tuesday Night
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Wednesday
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Isolated showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Wednesday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Thursday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Thursday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Friday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for 2 Miles ESE Warm Mineral Springs FL.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
587
FXUS62 KTBW 090038
AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
838 PM EDT Fri Aug 8 2025
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.UPDATE...
Issued at 830 PM EDT Fri Aug 8 2025
Active round of afternoon and evening convection continues to
slowly diminish, but not before producing copious rainfall
amounts... into the 3-5 inch range across Tampa Bay area counties
prompting multiple Flood Advisories, and a Flash Flood Warning in
eastern Hillsborough County. Meso-analysis continues to indicate
PW values above 2 inches over the area, with a localized maximum
generally collocated with a surface trough axis and low to mid
level trough located roughly along the I-4 corridor. Rainfall will
continue to gradually taper off over the next few hours followed
by partly cloudy skies overnight. SE/S flow expected on Saturday
afternoon coupled with abundant moisture remaining over the area
will favor another round of numerous to widespread showers/storms
developing, with an attendant primary flooding threat along with
the threat for gusty winds and frequent lightning.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
A weak boundary remains over northern Florida this afternoon, with
an east to southeast low-level flow continuing across the state. A
few showers and storms have popped up along the west coast sea
breeze and over southwest Florida early this afternoon, then
additional activity will move westward from the other side of the
state through the afternoon and evening, leading to another stormy
evening across much of west-central and southwest Florida.
Similar to last night, some activity will linger after sunset
before clearing out over land areas for the overnight period.
For this weekend into Monday, moisture will increase south of the
frontal boundary stuck across northern Florida and this, combined
with several impulses moving across the region aloft, will lead to
an increase in convection as well as the threat for heavy rainfall.
Some minor flooding is likely, though the severity will obviously be
tied to how much rain any locale gets at once or over multiple
instances. Certainly something to keep an eye on over the next
couple of days.
Light east/southeast flow continues through the rest of the week,
with relatively lower rain chances on Tuesday that generally go back
up mid to late week. Heavy rainfall will be the main threat through
the week, with warm and humid conditions continuing otherwise.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 740 PM EDT Fri Aug 8 2025
Mainly stratified precip shield with embedded occasional
lightning continues across the northern terminals with VCTS
mention and brief restrictions possible over the next few hours
as evening convection gradually winds down, while southern
terminals remain mainly dry. VFR remainder of overnight before
similar convective evolution expected on Saturday with afternoon
through early-mid evening showers and storms develop with likely
impacts to terminals. Winds generally light/E-SE overnight
increasing to southerly 5-10 knots late morning into early
afternoon, with variable gustiness in/near storms.
&&
.MARINE...
Southeast winds will remain over the waters through the next several
days, with a turn onshore near the coast each afternoon. The best
rain chances for today will be later in the evening as convection
moves westward over the waters from land, then rain chances increase
for the weekend.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
No fire weather concerns for the next several days as relative
humidity values will remain above critical levels. Warm and humid
summertime conditions will continue, with scattered showers and
thunderstorms each day.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 78 92 78 90 / 70 90 70 80
FMY 75 92 76 91 / 50 80 60 80
GIF 75 93 76 92 / 60 80 40 80
SRQ 75 92 75 90 / 70 80 70 80
BKV 73 92 73 90 / 60 80 60 80
SPG 78 89 77 88 / 70 90 80 80
&&
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 6
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 7
For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE/AVIATION...Hurt
DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Carlisle
DECISION SUPPORT...Oglesby/Austin
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Delerme/Ulevicius
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